By James D. McDonald, Research Historian
The sheer volume of information generated during the COVID-19 pandemic is stunning. A jumble of facts, fictions, half-truths, rumors, and conspiracy theories parade before us each day on news outlets, cable television, talk radio, and on social media. The challenge of divining wheat from chaff becomes all the more important in matters of life or death—strikingly symbolized in late April when the makers of Clorox and Lysol pleaded with Americans to not inject or ingest their products due to their toxicity.
Concern over the flood of misleading information about SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for the current coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, has led the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare the outbreak of an “infodemic” alongside the current pandemic. Looking at the event from a historical perspective, the rather diverse—and in some cases outright misleading—information now circulating should not have been unexpected. Most events of significance are accompanied by the spread of incorrect information. It may start innocently enough, with information initially thought to be true but later disproven as new details and data come to light. Nonetheless, ideas later disproven often have cultural staying power, such as the old wives’ tale that you can catch a cold if you go out in the rain insufficiently clothed.
During public health emergencies people seem to be particularly prone to rumors and false information. During the 1918 influenza epidemic, for example, some doctors began writing prescriptions for a mixture of whiskey and water as a cure for the virus. Alexandria, Virginia, was a dry city at the time, so police supplied pharmacies with whiskey they seized from bootleggers. Rumors began circulating that the police were distributing whiskey, prompting citizens to “besiege” the police station with telephone calls and in-person visits demanding whiskey.
Today, scholars differentiate between misinformation—which is inaccurate or misleading information that may be circulated unwittingly—and disinformation: intentionally false or misleading information created by malicious actors. The determining factor is intent.
One of the most persistent kinds of disinformation is the conspiracy theory. Some scholars believe that conspiracy theories tend to proliferate in societies where information is restricted. Although this would presume conspiracy theories are more common in repressive regimes, other scholars argue that conspiracy theories are not unique to one culture, political system, or time period; but rather that they are most prevalent in situations of great social stress. Conspiracy theories are especially common when large numbers of people experience a keen sense of powerlessness.
Most conspiracy theories coalesce around an underlying belief in a secretive power of immense capabilities and nefarious intent that manipulates circumstances to suit its will. Conspiracy theories are difficult to counteract. The information consumer may take any “new” information that may contradict the theory as further confirmation of a continued conspiracy. Interacting with conspiracy theories can provide entertainment (think X-Files), but they can also be quite dangerous. While in our day government or business interests are often depicted as the secretive power, in the past social, ethnic, and religious groups have used conspiracy theories to target outsiders. They have often played a crucial role in incidents of genocide throughout history.
Conspiracy theories have run rampant in the time of COVID-19. Some have set fire to telephone towers after hearing the unfounded claim that 5G network equipment could cause viral infections. Others have made the dubious assertion that the entire pandemic was intentionally planned.
What concerns scholars of disinformation the most, however, is the use of conspiracy theories and disinformation by nation-state adversaries who seek to manipulate internal political or social discord. Historically, disinformation campaigns were common during wartime or long periods of geopolitical tension such as the Cold War. In more recent times the use of disinformation in peacetime has become increasingly prevalent, and it has taken on subtle sophistication in the Internet era. Truths, half-truths, and untruths are arranged in a constellation to play on emotions and, when successful, result in action on the streets, in the courthouse, and the voting booth.
As historians and archivists, it is important to understand misinformation and disinformation as historical phenomena, existing on a continuum, and reflect on how they interact with the historical record, inform what is preserved, and how we interpret the past. The hazards that misinformation and disinformation represent for information consumers today are, however, real. Historian’s techniques may be helpful here too. Interrogate your sources, investigate all angles, follow the money, and remain skeptical of things that appear too good to be true. Your life may depend on it.